An exercise in predicting the future for the Arrow Glacier fork
This article is an exercise in predicting the effect of EIP 4345. That EIP sets back the difficulty bomb at an as-yet-undetermined point in December of 2021. Our goal is to see if we can help identify when and how far back to set the bomb so we can expect it to explode again in May of 2022.
Some Preliminaries
I’ve written a lot about this subject previously: